tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 56%

  1. 11:27 BZN → 14:45 MSP
    DL 1226 · Delta · 2h 18m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 53m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:38 MSP → 18:18 MDW
    DL 4714 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 39m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 68 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 53m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip5h 50mBZN 11:27 to MDW 18:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.