tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Houston via Minneapolis: arrives on time 71%

  1. 11:27 BZN → 14:45 MSP
    DL 1226 · Delta · 2h 18m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:40 MSP → 21:37 IAH
    DL 2683 · Delta · 2h 57m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 190 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip9h 10mBZN 11:27 to IAH 21:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.