tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Buffalo via Atlanta: arrives on time 72%

  1. 11:14 TPA → 12:53 ATL
    DL 1227 · Delta · 1h 40m · 86% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:33 ATL → 18:41 BUF
    DL 2050 · Delta · 2h 08m · 75% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 27mTPA 11:14 to BUF 18:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.