tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → New Orleans via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 11:14 TPA → 12:53 ATL
    DL 1227 · Delta · 1h 40m · 86% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:19 ATL → 15:57 MSY
    DL 3146 · Delta · 1h 38m · 79% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 43mTPA 11:14 to MSY 15:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.