tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Birmingham via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 11:14 TPA → 12:53 ATL
    DL 1227 · Delta · 1h 40m · 86% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:14 ATL → 15:10 BHM
    DL 3163 · Delta · 56m · 77% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 56mTPA 11:14 to BHM 15:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.