tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Des Moines via Detroit: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:05 LGA → 07:54 DTW
    DL 1231 · Delta · 1h 49m · 96% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:45 DTW → 09:44 DSM
    DL 5058 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 59m · 87% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip4h 39mLGA 06:05 to DSM 09:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.