tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Rochester via Detroit: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:05 LGA → 07:54 DTW
    DL 1231 · Delta · 1h 49m · 96% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:35 DTW → 11:59 ROC
    DL 5100 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 24m · 77% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 1 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 54mLGA 06:05 to ROC 11:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.