tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Santa Ana via Detroit: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:05 LGA → 07:54 DTW
    DL 1231 · Delta · 1h 49m · 96% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 26m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:20 DTW → 11:06 SNA
    DL 1857 · Delta · 4h 46m · 70% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 26m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 01mLGA 06:05 to SNA 11:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.