tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Minneapolis via Detroit: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:05 LGA → 07:54 DTW
    DL 1231 · Delta · 1h 49m · 96% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 DTW → 09:55 MSP
    DL 2258 · Delta · 1h 55m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip4h 50mLGA 06:05 to MSP 09:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.