tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Washington via Detroit: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:05 LGA → 07:54 DTW
    DL 1231 · Delta · 1h 49m · 96% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 DTW → 11:34 DCA
    DL 2476 · Delta · 1h 29m · 87% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 29mLGA 06:05 to DCA 11:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.