tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Traverse City via Detroit: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:05 LGA → 07:54 DTW
    DL 1231 · Delta · 1h 49m · 96% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 4h 21m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:15 DTW → 13:27 TVC
    DL 3976 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 12m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 216 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 21m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 22mLGA 06:05 to TVC 13:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.