tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Boston via Detroit: arrives on time 44%

  1. 18:07 TPA → 20:54 DTW
    DL 1243 · Delta · 2h 47m · 67% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:53 DTW → 23:54 BOS
    DL 1187 · Delta · 2h 01m · 71% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 47mTPA 18:07 to BOS 23:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.