tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Hartford via Detroit: arrives on time 46%

  1. 18:07 TPA → 20:54 DTW
    DL 1243 · Delta · 2h 47m · 67% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 DTW → 23:35 BDL
    DL 2989 · Delta · 1h 45m · 78% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 28mTPA 18:07 to BDL 23:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.