tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:35 ORD → 09:41 ATL
    DL 1247 · Delta · 2h 06m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 29m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 ATL → 13:29 JFK
    DL 2380 · Delta · 2h 19m · 82% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 29m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 54mORD 06:35 to JFK 13:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.