tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Santa Ana via Atlanta: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:00 MIA → 08:05 ATL
    DL 1249 · Delta · 2h 05m · 93% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 ATL → 12:40 SNA
    DL 329 · Delta · 4h 40m · 75% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip9h 40mMIA 06:00 to SNA 12:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.