Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Cleveland via Detroit: arrives on time 50%
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19:29 JFK → 21:56 DTWDL 1253 · Delta · 2h 27m · 71% on time, 11.6% cancelled
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1h 01m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:57 DTW → 23:59 CLEDL 3646 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 02m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (11.6% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 30mJFK 19:29 to CLE 23:59, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.