tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Memphis via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 08:17 MIA → 10:20 ATL
    DL 1261 · Delta · 2h 03m · 93% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 16m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:36 ATL → 13:57 MEM
    DL 1681 · Delta · 1h 21m · 83% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 151 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 16m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 40mMIA 08:17 to MEM 13:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.