tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Sarasota/Bradenton via Atlanta: arrives on time 85%

  1. 08:17 MIA → 10:20 ATL
    DL 1261 · Delta · 2h 03m · 93% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:40 ATL → 14:14 SRQ
    DL 2438 · Delta · 1h 34m · 89% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 57mMIA 08:17 to SRQ 14:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.