tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 77%

  1. 08:17 MIA → 10:20 ATL
    DL 1261 · Delta · 2h 03m · 93% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:07 ATL → 15:31 SDF
    DL 3195 · Delta · 1h 24m · 79% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 182 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 47m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 14mMIA 08:17 to SDF 15:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.