tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → El Paso via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:30 ORD → 08:33 ATL
    DL 1264 · Delta · 2h 03m · 91% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 42m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:15 ATL → 13:20 ELP
    DL 1002 · Delta · 3h 05m · 84% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 177 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 42m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 50mORD 05:30 to ELP 13:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.