tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Santa Barbara via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 66%

  1. 11:05 SEA → 14:11 SLC
    DL 1265 · Delta · 2h 06m · 86% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 SLC → 16:10 SBA
    DL 3853 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 10m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 05mSEA 11:05 to SBA 16:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.