tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 57%

  1. 18:24 BWI → 20:34 ATL
    DL 1267 · Delta · 2h 07m · 74% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 ATL → 22:47 PHX
    DL 842 · Delta · 4h 02m · 75% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 23mBWI 18:24 to PHX 22:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.