tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:15 PHL → 07:22 ATL
    DL 1269 · Delta · 2h 07m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:14 ATL → 12:45 TPA
    DL 1099 · Delta · 1h 31m · 85% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 187 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 30mPHL 05:15 to TPA 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.