tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:15 PHL → 07:22 ATL
    DL 1269 · Delta · 2h 07m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:38 ATL → 10:08 TPA
    DL 1227 · Delta · 1h 31m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip4h 54mPHL 05:15 to TPA 10:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.