tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Key West via Atlanta: arrives on time 83%

  1. 05:15 PHL → 07:22 ATL
    DL 1269 · Delta · 2h 07m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 4h 09m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:31 ATL → 13:28 EYW
    DL 1472 · Delta · 1h 53m · 87% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 204 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 09m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 09mPHL 05:15 to EYW 13:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.