tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Norfolk via Atlanta: arrives on time 71%

  1. 05:15 PHL → 07:22 ATL
    DL 1269 · Delta · 2h 07m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:29 ATL → 11:21 ORF
    F9 3072 · Frontier · 1h 47m · 79% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 01mPHL 05:15 to ORF 11:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.