tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Atlanta: arrives on time 78%

  1. 05:15 PHL → 07:22 ATL
    DL 1269 · Delta · 2h 07m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 ATL → 11:17 XNA
    DL 4082 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 02m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 128 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 53m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 02mPHL 05:15 to XNA 11:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.