tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Phoenix via Minneapolis: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:00 MSN → 07:09 MSP
    DL 1274 · Delta · 1h 09m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:24 MSP → 10:46 PHX
    DL 2208 · Delta · 3h 22m · 77% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 46mMSN 06:00 to PHX 10:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.