tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Newark via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 MSN → 07:09 MSP
    DL 1274 · Delta · 1h 09m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:14 MSP → 14:00 EWR
    UA 1637 · United · 2h 46m · 83% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 00mMSN 06:00 to EWR 14:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.