tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Philadelphia via Tampa: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:25 RDU → 08:18 TPA
    DL 1279 · Delta · 1h 53m · 94% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:48 TPA → 13:26 PHL
    AA 2807 · American · 2h 39m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 02mRDU 06:25 to PHL 13:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.