tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → New York via Tampa: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:25 RDU → 08:18 TPA
    DL 1279 · Delta · 1h 53m · 94% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:08 TPA → 13:59 JFK
    DL 2042 · Delta · 2h 51m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 34mRDU 06:25 to JFK 13:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.