tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Newark via Tampa: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:25 RDU → 08:18 TPA
    DL 1279 · Delta · 1h 53m · 94% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 39m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:57 TPA → 13:48 EWR
    UA 2858 · United · 2h 51m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 69 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 39m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 23mRDU 06:25 to EWR 13:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.