tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Minneapolis via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 84%

  1. 09:13 TPA → 11:03 RDU
    DL 1279 · Delta · 1h 50m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:48 RDU → 16:41 MSP
    DL 2521 · Delta · 2h 55m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 180 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 30mTPA 09:13 to MSP 16:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.