tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Philadelphia via Atlanta: arrives on time 61%

  1. 11:56 EYW → 14:03 ATL
    DL 1281 · Delta · 2h 05m · 89% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:15 ATL → 17:22 PHL
    DL 1169 · Delta · 2h 07m · 70% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 26mEYW 11:56 to PHL 17:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.