tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Philadelphia via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 11:56 EYW → 14:03 ATL
    DL 1281 · Delta · 2h 05m · 89% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 27m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:30 ATL → 18:37 PHL
    DL 1329 · Delta · 2h 07m · 62% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 102 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 27m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 41mEYW 11:56 to PHL 18:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.