tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 11:56 EYW → 14:03 ATL
    DL 1281 · Delta · 2h 05m · 89% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:50 ATL → 17:04 ORD
    DL 2738 · Delta · 2h 16m · 62% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Key West). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 47m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 10mEYW 11:56 to ORD 17:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.