tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 54%

  1. 11:56 EYW → 14:03 ATL
    DL 1281 · Delta · 2h 05m · 89% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:55 ATL → 19:48 DCA
    DL 832 · Delta · 1h 53m · 59% on time, 3.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 187 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.7% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip7h 52mEYW 11:56 to DCA 19:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.