tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 52%

  1. 11:56 EYW → 14:03 ATL
    DL 1281 · Delta · 2h 05m · 89% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 27m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 ATL → 17:25 DCA
    DL 850 · Delta · 1h 55m · 58% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 27m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip5h 29mEYW 11:56 to DCA 17:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.