tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 59%

  1. 11:56 EYW → 14:03 ATL
    DL 1281 · Delta · 2h 05m · 89% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 37m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:40 ATL → 18:33 DCA
    DL 950 · Delta · 1h 53m · 65% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 37m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 37mEYW 11:56 to DCA 18:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.