tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Birmingham via Atlanta: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:00 MDW → 08:55 ATL
    DL 1285 · Delta · 1h 55m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:15 ATL → 11:11 BHM
    DL 1017 · Delta · 56m · 91% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 11mMDW 06:00 to BHM 11:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.