tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:00 MDW → 08:55 ATL
    DL 1285 · Delta · 1h 55m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 ATL → 11:34 TPA
    DL 1587 · Delta · 1h 34m · 82% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 34mMDW 06:00 to TPA 11:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.