tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sarasota/Bradenton via Atlanta: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:00 MDW → 08:55 ATL
    DL 1285 · Delta · 1h 55m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:40 ATL → 14:14 SRQ
    DL 2438 · Delta · 1h 34m · 89% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sarasota/Bradenton is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 180 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 14mMDW 06:00 to SRQ 14:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.