tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New Orleans via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 MDW → 08:55 ATL
    DL 1285 · Delta · 1h 55m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:05 ATL → 11:42 MSY
    DL 2542 · Delta · 1h 37m · 87% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 42mMDW 06:00 to MSY 11:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.