tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Memphis via Atlanta: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:00 MDW → 08:55 ATL
    DL 1285 · Delta · 1h 55m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 ATL → 10:37 MEM
    DL 2937 · Delta · 1h 27m · 89% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 37mMDW 06:00 to MEM 10:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.