tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sarasota/Bradenton via Atlanta: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:00 MDW → 08:55 ATL
    DL 1285 · Delta · 1h 55m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 ATL → 11:45 SRQ
    DL 3104 · Delta · 1h 40m · 85% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sarasota/Bradenton is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 45mMDW 06:00 to SRQ 11:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.