tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Pensacola via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 MDW → 08:55 ATL
    DL 1285 · Delta · 1h 55m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 44m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:39 ATL → 10:51 PNS
    DL 3198 · Delta · 1h 13m · 89% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 59 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 44m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 52mMDW 06:00 to PNS 10:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.