tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Santa Ana via Atlanta: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:00 MDW → 08:55 ATL
    DL 1285 · Delta · 1h 55m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 ATL → 12:40 SNA
    DL 329 · Delta · 4h 40m · 75% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 40mMDW 06:00 to SNA 12:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.