tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Bozeman via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 MDW → 08:55 ATL
    DL 1285 · Delta · 1h 55m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 14m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:09 ATL → 13:11 BZN
    DL 406 · Delta · 4h 04m · 81% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 89 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 14m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 13mMDW 06:00 to BZN 13:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.