tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 54%

  1. 18:50 ILM → 20:35 ATL
    DL 1292 · Delta · 1h 45m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 ATL → 23:44 DCA
    DL 537 · Delta · 1h 49m · 70% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 54mILM 18:50 to DCA 23:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.