tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Rochester via Detroit: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:18 ATL → 11:10 DTW
    DL 1298 · Delta · 1h 54m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:25 DTW → 15:48 ROC
    DL 5211 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 23m · 72% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 30mATL 09:18 to ROC 15:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.